The Uncertain Future of iGaming in New York

A Closer Look at New York's iGaming Bill and Its Legislative Journey

As the Empire State grapples with economic challenges, a significant legislative proposal hangs in the balance. Senator Joseph Addabbo Jr.'s initiative to legalize online gaming—a bill that could potentially bolster state revenue—was notably absent from Governor Kathy Hochul's budget for 2025. The omission raises questions about the bill's future and its implications for New York's economy.

The Proposal: Taxation and Potential Revenue

The proposed legislation sets forth a 30.5% tax on online casino revenues. This follows the precedent set by online sports betting, which was incorporated into the state's 2022 budget with a hefty 51% tax rate. The rationale behind such a move is clear: legalizing iGaming could provide a substantial source of income for the state, contributing to public services like education while mitigating budget deficits.

However, without the integration of iGaming into the legal framework, New York risks financial losses as players might turn to other states where such activities are legal, or worse, to illegal gambling operations. The stakes are high, and the potential for increased state profits cannot be overlooked.

Political Hesitancy and Industry Concerns

Despite the potential benefits, Governor Hochul's stance on the bill during the 2024 legislative session appears tentative. This lack of support could stem from various concerns, ranging from ethical considerations to the complexities of implementing and regulating the industry.

Adding to the political hesitance is skepticism from within the industry itself. Steve Brubaker, an industry lobbyist, expresses doubt over the bill's passage. Furthermore, there are indications that last year's legal language may have been altered in ways that could advantage specific industry players. This practice isn't new; lobbyists frequently shape legislation to benefit particular companies, a reality that Brubaker candidly acknowledges.

For companies eyeing the lucrative market, the bill stipulates a critical requirement: potential license applicants might need to divest certain interests before they can be considered eligible. This provision ensures a level playing field and addresses conflicts of interest, but it also adds another layer of complexity to the already intricate process of market entry.

The Battle for Live Dealer Control

The heart of the debate seems to center around the control of live dealer games—a burgeoning sector in the online gambling world. Brubaker foresees a legislative tug-of-war, with possible amendments to the bill influencing the direction of this battle. His prediction is one of a bill unlikely to pass in its current form but intriguing in its potential to reshape the competitive landscape.

Brubaker's remarks hint at a lighter regulatory touch for Evolution, a key player in the live dealer space. He suggests that changes to the bill's language might be the result of lobbying efforts by Evolution itself or by the casinos that utilize their services. It's a reminder of the powerful role that lobbying can play in shaping not only legislation but the future of entire industries.

The Economic and Social Impact

The eventual fate of the iGaming bill carries significant weight for New York's economy and the gaming industry at large. The sentiments of Sen. Addabbo and Rep. Pretlow underscore the urgency of the matter, emphasizing the folly of allowing potential revenue to slip through the state's fingers, especially when it could support vital public services. Their joint statement captures the essence of the opportunity at hand—an opportunity to reclaim funds currently lost to other states or unregulated entities and redirect them towards the public good.

As the debate over the iGaming bill continues, its broader implications become increasingly apparent. Beyond the immediate financial gains lies a complex web of political maneuvering, industry dynamics, and social responsibility. The outcome will undoubtedly leave a lasting imprint on the state's fiscal health and its ethical approach to gambling regulation.

In conclusion, the journey of the iGaming bill is far from over. With Governor Hochul's budget excluding the proposal and industry insiders casting doubt on its viability, the bill's path forward is uncertain. Yet, the potential economic benefits loom large, inviting a closer examination of what the future holds for online gambling in New York. As legislators and stakeholders weigh their options, the eyes of the nation watch on, anticipating the ripple effects of New York's decision on the broader landscape of American iGaming.